Sky Gold: PAT up 99% & Revenue up 92% in Q1-25 at a PE of 58
FY25 guidance of 185% growth in PAT & Revenue growth of 89%. Guidance of PAT CAGR of 67% and Revenue CAGR of 53% for FY24-27.
1. Manufacturing of casting Gold Jewelry
skygold.co.in | NSE: SKYGOLD
The Company works on B 2 B model with leading Jewellery Retailers like Malabar Gold & Diamonds, Joyalukkas , Kalyan Jewellers, GRT Jewellers and Samco Gold . The Company also works with large wholesalers . With this Sky Gold products are available at more than 2 ,000 showrooms across India .
2. FY20-24: PAT CAGR of 62% & Revenue CAGR of 25%
3. FY23: PAT up 10% & Revenue up 47% YoY
4. Strong FY24: PAT up 118% & Revenue up 51%
5. Strong Q1-25: PAT up 99% & Revenue up 92% YoY
PAT up 56% & Revenue up 41% QoQ
6. Business metrics: Strong return ratios
7. Outlook: PAT growth of 185% & Revenue growth of 89% in FY25
i. FY24-27: PAT CAGR of 67% & Revenue CAGR of 53%
Revenue growing from Rs 1,745.5 cr in FY24 to Rs 6,300 by FY27 implies a revenue CAGR of 53%
A 3% PAT margin on revenue of Rs 6,300 cr implies a FY27 PAT of Rs 189 cr up from Rs 40.5 cr in FY24, growing at a CAGR of 67%
ii. FY25: PAT growth of 185% & Revenue growth of 89%
FY25 revenue of Rs 3,330 cr from Rs 1745.5 cr in FY24 implies a 89% growth. PAT increasing from Rs 40.5 cr in FY24 to Rs 115.5 cr (3.5%*3,330) implies a 185% growth in PAT.
Revenue of Rs 3,300 cr
PAT margin of 3.5%
8. PAT growth of 99% & Revenue growth of 92% in Q1-25 at a PE of 58
9. So Wait and Watch
If I hold the stock then one may continue holding on to SKYGOLD
SKYGOLD has delivered a strong FY24 and is following it up with an equally strong guidance for FY25. The Q1-25 performance is in line with the guidance for FY25.
The guidance for execution upto FY27 is equally strong. One can stay in for the long term guidance.
The business momentum continues to be strong as seen from the increasing capacity utilization i.e. the kg of gold manufactured.
The challenge for SKYGOLD is the ability to deliver strong year on year performances. One can stay on as long as we can see SKYGOLD is broadly on track to deliver as per FY27 guidance.
10. Join the ride
If I am looking to enter SKYGOLD then
SKYGOLD has delivered PAT growth of 99% & Revenue growth of 92% in Q1-25 at a PE of 60 which makes the valuations fully priced in the short term.
FY25 guidance of PAT growth of 185% & Revenue growth of 89% at PE of 60 makes the valuations attractive from a medium term perspective.
Outlook for FY24-27 with a PAT CAGR of 67% & Revenue CAGR of 53% at a PE of 60 which makes the SKYGOLD valuations quite attractive over the longer term .
FY24 was the first year of strong performance in the last 5 years. The track record of growth of SKYGOLD has been limited. The FY24-27 guidance would require a long period of strong year on year performances which have not been delivered in the past. Hence entry in to SKYGOLD needs to be done cautiously.
Previous coverage of SKYGOLD
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